Saturday, June 4, 2016

Oil declines after Opec decides not to impose new ceiling

Crude oil dropped after Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) decided to stick to its policy of unfettered output.
Futures fell on both sides of the Atlantic after closing above $50 a barrel in London for the first time in seven months. While members of Opec rejected a proposal to adopt a new production ceiling, ministers were united in their optimistic outlook for markets. US output declined for a 12th week and crude stockpiles dropped, according to a report from the department of energy’s statistical arm.
Oil has surged about 85% in New York from a 12-year low earlier this year amid disruptions in Nigeria, Libya, Venezuela and Canada and declines in US output. Opec needs more time to come up with a new production ceiling, outgoing secretary-general Abdalla El-Badri said after the meeting in Vienna, adding that it’s hard to find a target when Iranian supply is rising and significant Libyan volumes are halted.
“The good news yesterday was that Opec is getting along better,” said Rob Thummel, a managing director and portfolio manager at Tortoise Capital Advisors Llc who helps manage $14.1 billion. “The pain inflicted on US producers, which was their goal, also hurt Opec members. A reconciliation process is taking place.”
West Texas Intermediate oil for July delivery fell 46 cents, or 0.9%, to $48.71 a barrel at 10.52am local time on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices are down 1.3% this week after three straight weekly gains. Total volume traded was 30% below the 100-day average.
Brent for August settlement slipped 49 cents, or 1%, to $49.55 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices closed on Thursday above $50 for the first time since 3 November. The contract is up about 0.5% for the week, heading for a fourth weekly advance. The global benchmark crude traded at a 40-cent premium to WTI for August delivery.
Before the Opec meeting, Saudi Arabia had floated the idea of reinstating a group production ceiling as a gesture to show it had no plans to flood the market and it was serious about making the gathering a success. Iran, which has rejected any cap on output as it restores volumes following the removal of sanctions in January, argued that a group quota would be meaningless.
Nevertheless, relations among Opec members improved significantly after several acrimonious meetings, Iran’s oil minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said in an interview in Vienna on Friday.
Prices are recovering and the market is in good shape, said Saudi Arabia’s oil minister Khalid Al-Falih. Oil at $50 a barrel isn’t high enough to spark a significant production gain, he told reporters in his suite in a Vienna hotel.
“The Opec outcome was expected,” said Gene McGillian, a senior analyst and broker at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. “The continuing decline in North American output and the idea that global growth will boost demand have pushed prices higher. Whether they are enough to push us decisively over $50 has yet to be seen.” Bloomberg
Caroline Alexander contributed to this story.

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